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Trader profile

xiaoqiaxiaoqia

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$25.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate48.1%1,589 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 hours ago
Lifetime volume$4.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,541Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−29.0% / $95% interval −549.4% to +491.4%72 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−28.4%n=66 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 48.1% · Decided 1,589 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$448.8K
Concentration
—
Largest share of value
Positions
1,178
Showing the largest 8 of 1,178
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
THUNDER dOWNUNDER · YesValue$0PnL−$230Avg23¢Current0¢1,000Shares
LoL: Estral Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO1) - Circuito Desafiante Regular Season
Vivo Keyd Stars AcademyValue$0PnL−$303Avg40¢Current0¢756.61Shares
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
Inner Circle · YesValue$0PnL−$125Avg25¢Current0¢499.99Shares
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner
DN SOOPers · YesValue$0PnL−$340Avg34¢Current0¢999.99Shares
LoL: T1 vs Kiwoom DRX (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stage
Kiwoom DRX · NoValue$0PnL−$1.2KAvg58¢Current0¢2,000Shares
LoL: Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports vs Spartans EU - Game 1 Winner
Spartans EUValue$0PnL−$140Avg14¢Current0¢999.98Shares
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
Natus Vincere · NoValue$0PnL−$506Avg50¢Current0¢1,011.82Shares
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner
JD Gaming · YesValue$0PnL−$510Avg20.4¢Current0¢2,499.97Shares
Showing 8 of 1,178 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet xiaoqiaxiaoqia: 48.1% win rate over 1,589 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −29.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −549.4%, n=72 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−28.4% over 66 fills); +$25.7K lifetime P&L, $4.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.