PolyTrace
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Trader profile

Satisfactory8

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$13.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.6%2,046 settled · past 180 days8 open · 37% underwater · 9 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$1.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,605Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−3.3% / $95% interval −19.8% to +13.3%15 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−3.7%n=12 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.6% · Decided 2,046 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete9 minutes ago
Current position value
$9.6K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$37.2K
Concentration
87.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
305
Showing the largest 8 of 305
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
KUUSAMO.gg · NoValue$8.3KPnL+$123Avg48.2¢Current48.9¢17,036.05Shares
Estral Esports · YesValue$855PnL−$65Avg92¢Current85.5¢1,000Shares
EDward Gaming Youth Team · NoValue$144PnL−$7Avg34¢Current32.5¢444Shares
T1 Academy · NoValue$86PnL+$25Avg71¢Current100¢86Shares
Clutchain FemaleValue$55PnL+$10Avg49¢Current59.5¢91.96Shares
Yawara Esports · NoValue$46PnL−$20Avg77¢Current53.4¢86.59Shares
Kawaii KiwisValue$25PnL+$0.51Avg61.2¢Current62.5¢40.38Shares
Barça eSportsValue$0.30PnL+$0.05Avg63¢Current74.5¢0.41Shares
Showing 8 of 305 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet Satisfactory8: 56.6% win rate over 2,046 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −3.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −19.8%, n=15 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−3.7% over 12 fills); +$13.3K lifetime P&L, $1.8M traded, updated 2026-09-24.