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Trader profile

0x0240…78f2

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$2.9KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate46.6%1,332 settled · past 180 days13 open · 2% underwater · 3 days ago
Lifetime volume$5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded460Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+2.0% / $95% interval +0.2% to +3.8%602 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+2.0%n=602 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 3 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 46.6% · Decided 1,332 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 days ago
Current position value
$9.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$19.3K
Concentration
31.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
312
Showing the largest 8 of 312
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YesValue$3KPnL+$994Avg66.8¢Current100¢2,991.46Shares
Up · YesValue$600PnL+$300Avg50¢Current100¢600Shares
Down · NoValue$500PnL+$250Avg50¢Current100¢500.01Shares
NoValue$478PnL+$4Avg98.8¢Current99.6¢479.52Shares
Up · YesValue$300PnL+$150Avg50¢Current100¢300Shares
Up · YesValue$300PnL+$150Avg50¢Current100¢300Shares
Up · YesValue$300PnL+$150Avg50¢Current100¢300Shares
Down · NoValue$300PnL+$150Avg50¢Current100¢300Shares
Showing 8 of 312 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x02401f7c65ed0d3cc39db73de727991bea6678f2: 46.6% win rate over 1,332 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +2.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +0.2%, n=602 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+2.0% over 602 fills); −$2.9K lifetime P&L, $5M traded, updated 2026-09-21.