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Trader profile

JustADonk

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$139.6KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate56.2%1,231 settled · past 90 days191 open · 51% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$18.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,085Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+12.3% / $95% interval +5.4% to +19.1%905 settled fills · 90d window
Unmapped
+35.2%n=41 settled
Sports
+10.1%n=856 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 56.2% · Decided 1,231 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$234.2K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$1.9K
Concentration
54%
Largest share of value
Positions
191
Showing the largest 8 of 191
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$126.4KPnL+$31.4KAvg50¢Current66.5¢190,000Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$63.7KPnL−$31.4KAvg50¢Current33.5¢190,000Shares
Cardinals vs. 49ers
49ers · NoValue$4.8KPnL−$31Avg79¢Current78.5¢6,125.46Shares
Seahawks vs. Commanders
Seahawks · YesValue$3.7KPnL−$25Avg75¢Current74.5¢5,000Shares
Will Miami FL have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season?
O 10.5 · YesValue$3.6KPnL+$455Avg63¢Current72¢5,058Shares
Ravens vs. Cowboys
Ravens · YesValue$3.4KPnL−$28Avg63¢Current62.5¢5,500Shares
Will Caedrel Win the 2026 Esports Content Creator of the Year Award?
NoValue$1.8KPnL−$63Avg74¢Current71.5¢2,525Shares
Cleveland Guardians vs. Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox · NoValue$1.7KPnL−$135Avg61¢Current56.5¢3,000Shares
Showing 8 of 191 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JustADonk: 56.2% win rate over 1,231 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +12.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound +5.4%, n=905 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+10.1% over 856 fills); +$139.6K lifetime P&L, $18.5M traded, updated 2026-09-23.