PolyTrace
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Trader profile

JSG3

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL+$18.5KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…5 open · 0% underwater · 7 hours ago
Lifetime volume$222.6K130 trades · Polymarket
Markets traded11Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−8.9% / $95% interval −281.4% to +263.5%16 settled fills · 90d window
Politics
−11.6%n=13 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded7 hours ago
Current position value
$9.5K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$643
Concentration
42.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award?
YesValue$4.1KPnL+$108Avg89.6¢Current92¢4,414.93Shares
Will Pat Murphy win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$81Avg78.8¢Current81.8¢2,692.86Shares
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.2KPnL+$16Avg68¢Current68.5¢3,211.62Shares
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award?
YesValue$1KPnL+$71Avg84.8¢Current91¢1,137.43Shares
Will Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
YesValue$12PnL+$0.50Avg25.1¢Current26.2¢45.15Shares
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies · NoValue$0PnL−$920Avg46¢Current0¢2,000Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet JSG3: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −8.9% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −281.4%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Politics (−11.6% over 13 fills); +$18.5K lifetime P&L, $222.6K traded, updated 2026-09-24.