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Trader profile

11122

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$583.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.2%367 settled · past 90 days247 open · 43% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$203.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded258Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+99.4% / $95% interval −106.5% to +305.2%79 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+167.7%n=40 settled
Politics
+2.1%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 6 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.2% · Decided 367 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$462.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
+$22.6K
Concentration
31.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
262
Showing the largest 8 of 262
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$147.5KPnL+$45KAvg55.2¢Current79.4¢185,934.79Shares
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
NoValue$27.7KPnL−$8.7KAvg45.4¢Current34.5¢80,256.53Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$25.3KPnL−$9.5KAvg47.4¢Current34.5¢73,467.55Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
YesValue$18.8KPnL−$5.4KAvg34.2¢Current26.5¢70,869.35Shares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
NoValue$15.6KPnL−$18.8KAvg16.5¢Current7.5¢208,449.26Shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
NoValue$15.1KPnL−$39Avg86.8¢Current86.6¢17,494.13Shares
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$11.8KPnL−$3.4KAvg43.1¢Current33.5¢35,266.4Shares
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
YesValue$11.8KPnL+$8.5KAvg3.2¢Current11.5¢103,082.34Shares
Showing 8 of 262 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
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Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 11122: 38.2% win rate over 367 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +99.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −106.5%, n=79 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+167.7% over 40 fills); +$583.3K lifetime P&L, $203.3M traded, updated 2026-09-24.