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Trader profile

ballinco

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$194Polymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate45.5%220 settled · past 180 days7 open · 93% underwater · 18 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.7M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded372Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−10.8% / $95% interval −33.8% to +12.3%14 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−10.8%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

Measured 1 hour ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 45.5% · Decided 220 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded18 hours ago
Current position value
$55.8K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$142.8K
Concentration
44.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
59
Showing the largest 8 of 59
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$24.7KPnL−$10.8KAvg83.5¢Current58¢42,553.19Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$13.5KPnL−$1.6KAvg87.6¢Current78.5¢17,142.35Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$6.2KPnL−$15.4KAvg73.5¢Current21¢29,374.04Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$4.7KPnL+$342Avg81.6¢Current88¢5,326.39Shares
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
YesValue$3.7KPnL+$1.5KAvg3.4¢Current5.7¢65,159.07Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
NoValue$2.7KPnL+$261Avg82¢Current91¢2,919.75Shares
Will the Green Bay Packers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs?
NoValue$428PnL+$77Avg48¢Current58.5¢731.83Shares
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
YesValue$0PnL−$6.6KAvg29¢Current0¢22,722.49Shares
Showing 8 of 59 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ballinco: 45.5% win rate over 220 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −10.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −33.8%, n=14 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−10.8% over 14 fills); −$194 lifetime P&L, $1.7M traded, updated 2026-09-23.