PolyTrace
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Trader profile

0x00c8…9ccd

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$116.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate44%11,019 settled · past 90 days90 open · 88% underwater · 8 hours ago
Lifetime volume$9.9M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded5,240Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−37.5% / $95% interval −292.1% to +217.0%264 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−27.0%n=215 settled
Crypto
−60.3%n=39 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 4 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 44% · Decided 11,019 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Top 5,000
Last loaded8 hours ago

This snapshot reached the 5,000-position product limit. Showing up to 5,000 positions by size.

Current position value
$3.7K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Snapshot cash PnL
−$364.5K
Based on Top 5,000 positions
Concentration
19.8%
Largest share of value
Positions
5,000
Showing the largest 8 of 5,000
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
YesValue$732PnL−$1.4KAvg19.2¢Current6.5¢11,258.02Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$354PnL−$59Avg6.4¢Current5.5¢6,430.68Shares
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in September?
YesValue$330PnL−$88Avg21.2¢Current16.8¢1,972.84Shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
YesValue$296PnL−$169Avg10.2¢Current6.5¢4,554.36Shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win more than 99.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?
O 99.5 · YesValue$252PnL+$145Avg32.8¢Current77.5¢324.74Shares
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
YesValue$214PnL+$14Avg35.9¢Current38.4¢557.08Shares
Will October be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?
YesValue$142PnL−$10Avg9.6¢Current9¢1,582.4Shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
Up · YesValue$133PnL+$53Avg60¢Current100¢132.62Shares
Showing 8 of 5,000 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x00c8ef6895e2fb38b538cac8c08edd6b82289ccd: 44% win rate over 11,019 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −37.5% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −292.1%, n=264 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−27.0% over 215 fills); −$116.8K lifetime P&L, $9.9M traded, updated 2026-09-24.