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Trader profile

KagenoKokoro

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$7.3KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate47.7%107 settled · past 90 days1 open · 100% underwater · 5 hours ago
Lifetime volume$425.7K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded136Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+244.3% / $95% interval −198.5% to +687.1%28 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+14.4%n=27 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 23 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 47.7% · Decided 107 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded5 hours ago
Current position value
$1
Snapshot cash PnL
−$33.1K
Concentration
100%
Largest share of value
Positions
39
Showing the largest 8 of 39
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
YBN Team · YesValue$1PnL−$395Avg15¢Current0.1¢2,643.59Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg45.9¢Current3,000Shares
Arctic Pandas · YesValue$0PnL−$2.1KAvg43.1¢Current4,914.96Shares
Anna Kalinskaya · YesValue$0PnL−$1.1KAvg53¢Current2,049.98Shares
Astralis · YesValue$0PnL−$457Avg51¢Current896.64Shares
Shopify RebellionValue$0PnL−$680Avg34¢Current1,999.99Shares
Bilibili Gaming Junior · NoValue$0PnL−$941Avg32.4¢Current2,899.85Shares
FURIA · NoValue$0PnL−$1.3KAvg43¢Current2,999.96Shares
Showing 8 of 39 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet KagenoKokoro: 47.7% win rate over 107 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +244.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −198.5%, n=28 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+14.4% over 27 fills); −$7.3K lifetime P&L, $425.7K traded, updated 2026-09-24.