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Trader profile

manuelarias

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$33.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate38.1%286 settled · past 180 days25 open · 61% underwater · 23 hours ago
Lifetime volume$263.9K1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded520Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed

Not measured: fewer than 10 settled fills in the window. No edge is published for this wallet, and that is not a zero.

How this record is measured

Win rate 38.1% · Decided 286 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded23 hours ago
Current position value
$361
Snapshot cash PnL
−$35.8K
Concentration
24.7%
Largest share of value
Positions
249
Showing the largest 8 of 249
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$89PnL−$1Avg90¢Current89¢100Shares
NoValue$88PnL+$0.50Avg87¢Current87.5¢100Shares
NoValue$60PnL−$0.70Avg87¢Current86¢70Shares
NoValue$60PnL−$0.70Avg86¢Current85¢70Shares
YesValue$28PnL+$3Avg76.3¢Current86¢32.11Shares
YesValue$9PnL−$0.58Avg60¢Current56.5¢16.67Shares
NoValue$2PnL+$0.06Avg89¢Current91.5¢2.25Shares
YesValue$2PnL+$0.04Avg23¢Current23.5¢8.7Shares
Showing 8 of 249 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet manuelarias: 38.1% win rate over 286 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge not yet scored (needs 10 settled fills); −$33.8K lifetime P&L, $263.9K traded, updated 2026-09-23.