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Trader profile

notJaneStreet

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$14.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate53%2,066 settled · past 180 days2 open · 86% underwater · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$5.8M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded435Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+9.4% / $95% interval −9.4% to +28.2%41 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+9.4%n=41 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 53% · Decided 2,066 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded2 days ago
Current position value
$1.4K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$271.7K
Concentration
68.9%
Largest share of value
Positions
556
Showing the largest 8 of 556
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
NoValue$941PnL+$39Avg81¢Current84.5¢1,113.99Shares
YesValue$425PnL−$235Avg66¢Current42.5¢999.97Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$626Avg85¢Current736.78Shares
Corentin Moutet · NoValue$0PnL−$712Avg59.3¢Current1,199.98Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$27AvgCurrent299.93Shares
YesValue$0PnL−$397Avg49.5¢Current802.03Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$1.5KAvg40¢Current3,833.89Shares
NoValue$0PnL−$10Avg52.1¢Current18.69Shares
Showing 8 of 556 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet notJaneStreet: 53% win rate over 2,066 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge +9.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −9.4%, n=41 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+9.4% over 41 fills); −$14.4K lifetime P&L, $5.8M traded, updated 2026-09-22.