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Trader profile

GobiDesertCanoePro

Market makers
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Market-making activity, measured as two-sided flow.

Lifetime PnL−$9.8KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Buy / sell split—Loading trading flow…17 open · 95% underwater · 4 hours ago
Lifetime volume$5.6M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded540Lifetime coverage
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−23.3% / $95% interval −148.0% to +101.5%16 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−25.1%n=14 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Two-sided market-making flow does not measure directional forecasting skill.

Observed activity

How this wallet provides liquidity

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded4 hours ago
Current position value
$8.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$2K
Concentration
53.3%
Largest share of value
Positions
19
Showing the largest 8 of 19
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$4.4KPnL−$136Avg5.2¢Current5.1¢87,250.35Shares
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$1.4KPnL−$264Avg2.4¢Current2.1¢69,999.99Shares
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NoValue$967PnL+$17Avg95¢Current96.7¢1,000Shares
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
YesValue$750PnL−$570Avg2.2¢Current1.3¢59,999.96Shares
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?
NoValue$311PnL+$5Avg92¢Current93.5¢332.5Shares
Trump out as President before 2027?
NoValue$96PnL+$9Avg87¢Current95.5¢100Shares
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$60PnL+$15Avg66¢Current88.6¢68.18Shares
Will Anna-Karin Hatt be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?
NoValue$45PnL+$0.07Avg99.8¢Current100¢45.09Shares
Showing 8 of 19 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet GobiDesertCanoePro: two-sided market-making flow, so no directional win rate is published, edge −23.3% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −148.0%, n=16 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−25.1% over 14 fills); −$9.8K lifetime P&L, $5.6M traded, updated 2026-09-24.