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Trader profile

ARocky33

Directional

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$74KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate76.2%4,059 settled · past 90 days0 open · 3 hours ago
Lifetime volume$1.2M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded4,929Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+16.0% / $95% interval −6.3% to +38.3%59 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+13.7%n=49 settled
Unmapped
+12.4%n=10 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 76.2% · Decided 4,059 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded3 hours ago
Current position value
$637
Snapshot cash PnL
−$26.5K
Concentration
38.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
996
Showing the largest 8 of 996
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
UnderValue$245PnL−$5Avg51¢Current50¢490.04Shares
UnderValue$231PnL−$19Avg54¢Current50¢462.69Shares
OverValue$0.99PnL+$0.71Avg28.4¢Current100¢0.99Shares
NoValue$0.98PnL+$0.43Avg56¢Current100¢0.98Shares
OverValue$0.98PnL+$0.07Avg93¢Current100¢0.98Shares
NoValue$0.98PnL+$0.42Avg57¢Current100¢0.98Shares
Under · NoValue$0.98PnL+$0.77Avg21.2¢Current100¢0.98Shares
NoValue$0.97PnL+$0.75Avg22.7¢Current100¢0.97Shares
Showing 8 of 996 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet ARocky33: 76.2% win rate over 4,059 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +16.0% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −6.3%, n=59 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+13.7% over 49 fills); +$74K lifetime P&L, $1.2M traded, updated 2026-09-24.