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Trader profile

madwish355

Directional

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$71.4KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate51.5%690 settled · past 90 days0 open · 2 days ago
Lifetime volume$8.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded1,137Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnLLoading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
+15.4% / $95% interval −26.0% to +56.8%193 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
+23.5%n=156 settled
Unmapped
−15.8%n=37 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 51.5% · Decided 690 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded13 hours ago
Current position value
$0
Snapshot cash PnL
−$5.9K
Concentration
Largest share of value
Positions
6
All shown
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
FlyQuest · NoValue$0PnL−$1.8KAvg18.5¢Current9,999.91Shares
Movistar KOI · NoValue$0PnL−$900Avg18¢Current5,000Shares
FlyQuest · NoValue$0PnL−$900Avg18¢Current4,999.94Shares
Colts · YesValue$0PnL−$497Avg33¢Current1,505.99Shares
Movistar KOI · NoValue$0PnL−$350AvgCurrent4,999.95Shares
FlyQuest · NoValue$0PnL−$1.4KAvg28¢Current5,000Shares
All 6 positions shown
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet madwish355: 51.5% win rate over 690 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge +15.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −26.0%, n=193 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (+23.5% over 156 fills); −$71.4K lifetime P&L, $8.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.