PolyTrace
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Trader profile

scottilicious

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Profitable historically.

Lifetime PnL+$1.6MPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate77.3%88 settled · past 90 days43 open · 40% underwater · 14 minutes ago
Lifetime volume$72.5M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded639Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−21.8% / $95% interval −147.7% to +104.1%234 settled fills · 90d window
Crypto
−7.5%n=10 settled
Sports
−8.2%n=15 settled
Politics
−21.7%n=203 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 77.3% · Decided 88 · 90d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Complete14 minutes ago
Current position value
$759.9K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$209K
Concentration
32.5%
Largest share of value
Positions
63
Showing the largest 8 of 63
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
YesValue$246.9KPnL+$23.8KAvg83.6¢Current92.5¢266,939.3Shares
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$129KPnL+$3.7KAvg96.5¢Current99.4¢129,864.08Shares
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?
YesValue$69.6KPnL−$2.6KAvg76.3¢Current73.5¢94,640.4Shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
NoValue$54KPnL+$737Avg95.9¢Current97.3¢55,571.25Shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
NoValue$44.7KPnL+$974Avg90.5¢Current92.5¢48,298.18Shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
NoValue$36.3KPnL+$1.6KAvg95¢Current99.4¢36,491.19Shares
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YesValue$36.1KPnL+$2.4KAvg79.3¢Current85¢42,449.15Shares
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
NoValue$22.9KPnL−$5KAvg87.7¢Current72.1¢31,784.43Shares
Showing 8 of 63 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

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Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet scottilicious: 77.3% win rate over 88 resolved positions (last 90 days), edge −21.8% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −147.7%, n=234 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Crypto (−7.5% over 10 fills); +$1.6M lifetime P&L, $72.5M traded, updated 2026-09-24.