PolyTrace
← Back to wallets

Trader profile

0x000c…bcf3

Directional
Polymarket ↗PolygonscanExplorer ↗Chrome

Historical record

Loss-making historically.

Lifetime PnL−$298.7KPolymarket leaderboard · lifetime
Win rate21%396 settled · past 180 days48 open · 88% underwater · 9 hours ago
Lifetime volume$21.3M1,000+ trades · Polymarket
Markets traded202Lifetime coverage
90d decided PnL—Loading settled-position results…
Edge vs entry price

Profit per $1 risked, measured against the price each position was entered at.

How this is computed
−37.4% / $95% interval −195.1% to +120.2%486 settled fills · 90d window
Sports
−37.4%n=486 settled

A category is listed from 10 settled fills upward.

This wallet is not classified as directional. Market-making and arbitrage strategies take losing legs by design, so their edge describes the payoff of that strategy rather than a judgement about outcomes.

Measured 22 hours ago

How this record is measured

Win rate 21% · Decided 396 · 180d

Observed activity

Where and how this wallet trades

Only recorded trades of $1K+ are included; this is not the wallet's full history.

No category data for this wallet.

No tracked trading behavior yet.

Last loaded9 hours ago
Current position value
$27.3K
Snapshot cash PnL
−$8.5K
Concentration
42.4%
Largest share of value
Positions
48
Showing the largest 8 of 48
EventOutcomeValuePnLAvg → CurrentShares
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
NoValue$11.5KPnL+$112Avg98.7¢Current99.7¢11,577.26Shares
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?
NoValue$3.7KPnL−$97Avg94.8¢Current92.4¢4,005.02Shares
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$3.2KPnL−$453Avg3.1¢Current2.8¢114,747.68Shares
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
YesValue$2.2KPnL+$869Avg56.3¢Current93.3¢2,351.04Shares
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
YesValue$1.7KPnL−$8.2KAvg38.3¢Current6.5¢25,668.25Shares
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series?
NoValue$1.4KPnL−$18Avg97.6¢Current96.4¢1,409.3Shares
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
YesValue$683PnL+$30Avg29.2¢Current30.5¢2,240.03Shares
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
YesValue$637PnL+$114Avg1.4¢Current1.7¢38,594.77Shares
Showing 8 of 48 positions by current value
Results
Exposure
Loading category evidence…

Results and exposure are checked against separate coverage records.

Recent activity

Whale activity over 30 days

Tracked trades ≥$1K. Empty days keep their place in the timeline.

Loading tracked activity…

Large trades

Recent large trades

Trade facts; use ? for snapshot-based explanations

About this wallet

Wallet 0x000c8cb93bb5fd4c9f292c6b4c5f7c021bb6bcf3: 21% win rate over 396 resolved positions (last 180 days), edge −37.4% per $1 risked (95% lower bound −195.1%, n=486 settled fills over 90 days), strongest in Sports (−37.4% over 486 fills); −$298.7K lifetime P&L, $21.3M traded, updated 2026-09-23.